Regularised B-splines projected Gaussian Process priors to estimate time-trends of age-specific COVID-19 deaths related to vaccine roll-out
Appeared in Bayesian Analysis, 2021
We fit beta splines to COVID-19 mortality data for each US state and use the fitted curves to estimate future casualties.
Recommended citation: Monod, M., Blenkinsop, A., Brizzi, A., Chen, Y., A.C.C. Perello, C., Jogarah, V., Wang, Y., Flaxman, S., Bhatt, S., & Ratmann, O. Regularised B-splines projected Gaussian Process priors to estimate time-trends of age-specific COVID-19 deaths related to vaccine roll-out, (2021). https://projecteuclid.org/journals/bayesian-analysis/volume-18/issue-3/Regularised-B-splines-Projected-Gaussian-Process-Priors-to-Estimate-Time/10.1214/22-BA1334.full
